Banker as favourites
5/7Minerva Punjab won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 51%).
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Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Indian Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
Banker as favourites
Minerva Punjab won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 51%).
5/7Wins as favourite · Minerva Punjab
Bookmakers: Minerva Punjab 45% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Indian Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Minerva Punjab to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Churchill Brothers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Churchill Brothers 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.0% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Minerva Punjab Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Minerva Punjab 2+ goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Churchill Brothers–
Minerva Punjab–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Churchill Brothers–Minerva Punjab–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
125%
X24%
251%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 71% | 29% |
| 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 75% | 25% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
121%
X45%
234%
1st Score
135%
X6%
258%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab: the stats that stand out
Indian Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Minerva Punjab: banker as favourites and hard to break
5/7Hard to break
3/10Minerva Punjab conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Indian Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Indian Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMinerva Punjab games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Indian Super League average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Minerva Punjab5 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Minerva Punjab5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 104 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab form and luck check
Indian Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Indian Super League gamesMinerva Punjab: results in line with their chances
- Minerva PunjabBookmakers: 45% to win today.0.0
Last 5 matches
Minerva PunjabD
W
Churchill BrothersL
W
W
D
L
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab corners, cards and goal times
Indian Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMinerva Punjab score late
Churchill Brothers
Minerva Punjab
–
Corners won · league 5.2
5.1
–
Corners conceded · league 5.2
3.6
–
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
–
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.6
–
Goals before half-time · league 44%
21%
–
Goals after 75' · league 26%
36%
–
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
30%
–
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Churchill Brothers0/2
Minerva Punjab1/2
Both Teams to Score
Churchill Brothers1/2
Minerva Punjab2/2
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Churchill Brothers2/2
Minerva Punjab2/2
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Churchill Brothers1/2
Minerva Punjab2/2
First Half Result
Churchill Brothers1/2
Minerva Punjab1/2
Correct Score
Churchill Brothers0/2
Minerva Punjab1/2
correct predictionwrong prediction