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Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC

Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Indian Super League - Season 2026/2027

Fair result

Minerva Punjab

2–1

Odisha FC

1.6Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Minerva Punjab would usually take 1.8 points and Odisha FC 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Minerva Punjab.

Minerva Punjab +1.3 pts vs chancesOdisha FC −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC stats: how the match was played

Indian Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Minerva Punjab had more than twice the shots on target

Minerva Punjab

Odisha FC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Minerva Punjab and Odisha FC ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Minerva Punjab win with 62% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Odisha FC – NorthEast United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Indian Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minerva Punjab to win

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minerva Punjab ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Minerva Punjab Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minerva Punjab 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Odisha FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Odisha FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Indian Super League - India

Minerva Punjab2

Odisha FC1

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Indian Super League - India

Minerva Punjab2

Odisha FC1

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

162%

X21%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%	68%	32%	86%	14%
	47%	53%	79%	21%	94%	6%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%
	47%	53%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	86%	14%
	94%	6%	98%	2%

1st Half

147%

X38%

215%

1st Score

167%

X6%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

19%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.8%

2-0

10.4%

2-1

10.1%

1-1

9.6%

3-1

6.7%

3-0

6.5%

0-0

5.7%

0-1

4.9%

2-2

4.9%

1-2

4.5%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Minerva Punjab vs Odisha FC — Recent Form

Minerva Punjab have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Odisha FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Minerva Punjab

Odisha FC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Odisha FC

1/2

Minerva Punjab

1/2

Both Teams to Score

Odisha FC

2/2

Minerva Punjab

2/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Odisha FC

1/2

Minerva Punjab

2/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Odisha FC

2/2

Minerva Punjab

2/2

First Half Result

Odisha FC

1/2

Minerva Punjab

1/2

Correct Score

Odisha FC

1/2

Minerva Punjab

1/2

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Odisha FC – NorthEast United prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).