Slow starters
2/10Hapoel Petah Tikva scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Slow starters
Hapoel Petah Tikva scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
2/10Scored first · Hapoel Petah Tikva
Bookmakers: Hapoel Petah Tikva 12% to winBeitar Jerusalem 67%
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem score prediction
Ligat ha'Al
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Beitar Jerusalem expected to create clearly more
2.9 goals in total, in line with the Ligat ha'Al average of 2.9.
goals expected
Hapoel Petah Tikva1.0
Beitar Jerusalem1.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligat ha'Al
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beitar Jerusalem to win
Our model 69%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,412 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beitar Jerusalem ahead at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–1 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).
Beitar Jerusalem Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beitar Jerusalem 2+ goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Hapoel Petah Tikva–
Beitar Jerusalem–Winner
2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Hapoel Petah Tikva–Beitar Jerusalem–Winner
2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-2 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
113%
X18%
269%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 82% | 18% |
| 12% | 88% | 34% | 66% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 60% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
1st Half
115%
X39%
247%
1st Score
126%
X5%
269%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
21%
X-X
13%
1-1
7%
X-1
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.6%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: the stats that stand out
Ligat ha'Al
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Hapoel Petah Tikva: slow starters and shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
5/10Hapoel Petah Tikva failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: attack vs defence
Ligat ha'Al
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligat ha'Al teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Hapoel Petah Tikva: weak attack, good defence (1.00 xG, 1.44 xGA a game)
- Beitar Jerusalem: good attack, weak defence (1.52 xG, 1.53 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem form and luck check
Ligat ha'Al
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligat ha'Al gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Hapoel Petah TikvaBookmakers: 12% to win today.−1.7
- Beitar JerusalemBookmakers: 67% to win today.+2.7
Last 5 matches
Beitar JerusalemD
W
W
W
W
Hapoel Petah TikvaL
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Hapoel Petah Tikva 14th of 14 · Beitar Jerusalem 4th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligat ha'Al
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligat ha'Al gamesBTTS = both teams scoredHapoel Petah Tikva games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Ligat ha'Al average (54%), Beitar Jerusalem games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Hapoel Petah Tikva3 of 10
Beitar Jerusalem6 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Hapoel Petah Tikva4 of 10
Beitar Jerusalem5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 245 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem corners, cards and goal times
Ligat ha'Al
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHapoel Petah Tikva score late
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
4.0
Corners won · league 4.6
6.2
5.9
Corners conceded · league 4.6
3.3
2.0
Cards · league 2.5
2.8
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
2.5
33%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
43%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
21%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
9%
14%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
55%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beitar Jerusalem4/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva4/5
Both Teams to Score
Beitar Jerusalem3/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Beitar Jerusalem3/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Beitar Jerusalem3/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva5/5
First Half Result
Beitar Jerusalem4/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva1/5
Correct Score
Beitar Jerusalem1/5
Hapoel Petah Tikva2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction