1. Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Riding their luck

Machida Zelvia are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Machida Zelvia 31% to winVissel Kobe 40%

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia score prediction

J-League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.5 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the J-League average is 2.8).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe to win

Our model 37%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,099 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 49%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Vissel Kobe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe 0–1 goals

Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Machida Zelvia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Machida Zelvia 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe–
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

137%
X30%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%68%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vissel Kobe32%68%68%32%
Machida Zelvia34%66%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vissel Kobe89%11%97%3%
Machida Zelvia90%10%97%3%

1st Half

123%
X49%
228%

1st Score

140%
X10%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

20%

2-2

20%

1-1

17%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.0%

1-0

11.8%

0-1

10.8%

0-0

9.9%

2-1

7.8%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

4.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: the stats that stand out

J-League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Machida Zelvia: always on the scoresheet and fast starters · Vissel Kobe: banker as favourites

Always on the scoresheet
Machida Zelvia0/10

Machida Zelvia scored in all of their last 10 (league 26% fail to score).

Fast starters
Machida Zelvia7/10

Machida Zelvia scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Banker as favourites
Vissel Kobe6/8

Vissel Kobe won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 56%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: attack vs defence

J-League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Vissel KobeVissel Kobe: good attack, good defence (1.48 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
  • Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 1.19 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia form and luck check

J-League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League games

Machida Zelvia are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Vissel Kobe
    Vissel KobeBookmakers: 40% to win today.
    +2.7
  • Machida Zelvia
    Machida ZelviaBookmakers: 31% to win today.Clinical · +8 goals
    +5.3

Last 5 matches

Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
W
W
W
L
D
1st in table
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
L
W
L
W
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Vissel Kobe 6th of 20 · Machida Zelvia 2nd of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

J-League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the J-League average (53%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Vissel Kobe6 of 10
Machida Zelvia7 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Vissel Kobe5 of 10
Machida Zelvia6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 150 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia corners, cards and goal times

J-League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the J-League average

Vissel Kobe

Machida Zelvia

4.2

Corners won · league 4.6

4.1

4.8

Corners conceded · league 4.6

4.3

0.6

Cards · league 1.4

1.0

2.2

Opponents' cards · league 1.4

1.4

24%

Goals before half-time · league 38%

32%

29%

Goals after 75' · league 27%

36%

27%

Conceded before half-time · league 38%

33%

18%

Conceded after 75' · league 27%

11%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
4/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
3/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
3/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
4/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
3/5

First Half Result

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
4/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
1/5

Correct Score

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
0/5
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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