Banker as favourites
5/6Urawa Reds won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 56%).
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Banker as favourites
Urawa Reds won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 56%).
5/6Wins as favourite · Urawa Reds
Bookmakers: Urawa Reds 60% to winV-Varen Nagasaki 16%
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki score prediction
J-League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Urawa Reds expected to create clearly more
3.0 goals in total, a little over the J-League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Urawa Reds1.7
V-Varen Nagasaki1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Urawa Reds to win
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 2,219 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Urawa Reds Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Urawa Reds 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
V-Varen Nagasaki Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 2,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Urawa Reds–
V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Urawa Reds–V-Varen Nagasaki–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
155%
X24%
221%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 44% | 56% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
137%
X43%
220%
1st Score
157%
X7%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
18%
X-X
16%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: the stats that stand out
J-League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Urawa Reds: banker as favourites and always on the scoresheet
5/6Always on the scoresheet
1/10Urawa Reds failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: attack vs defence
J-League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Urawa Reds: good attack, good defence (1.39 xG, 1.35 xGA a game)
- V-Varen Nagasaki: weak attack, weak defence (1.27 xG, 1.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki form and luck check
J-League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Urawa RedsBookmakers: 60% to win today.+3.8
- V-Varen NagasakiBookmakers: 16% to win today.−0.6
Last 5 matches
Urawa RedsW
W
L
W
L
V-Varen NagasakiW
L
D
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Urawa Reds 9th of 20 · V-Varen Nagasaki 16th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
J-League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredUrawa Reds games go over 2.5 goals more often than the J-League average (53%), V-Varen Nagasaki games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Urawa Reds8 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Urawa Reds7 of 10
V-Varen Nagasaki5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 150 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki corners, cards and goal times
J-League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameUrawa Reds score early, V-Varen Nagasaki late
Urawa Reds
V-Varen Nagasaki
5.1
Corners won · league 4.6
3.5
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.6
5.2
1.0
Cards · league 1.4
1.6
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 1.4
1.0
59%
Goals before half-time · league 38%
31%
24%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
38%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 38%
47%
16%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Urawa Reds4/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
Both Teams to Score
Urawa Reds2/5
V-Varen Nagasaki3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Urawa Reds3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Urawa Reds3/5
V-Varen Nagasaki4/5
First Half Result
Urawa Reds4/5
V-Varen Nagasaki1/5
Correct Score
Urawa Reds0/5
V-Varen Nagasaki2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction