1. Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Always on the scoresheet

Kawasaki Frontale scored in all of their last 10 (league 26% fail to score).

0/10Failed to score · Kawasaki Frontale
Bookmakers: Kawasaki Frontale 44% to winFagiano Okayama 29%

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama score prediction

J-League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Kawasaki Frontale expected to create clearly more

3.0 goals in total, a little over the J-League average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawasaki Frontale to win

Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Kawasaki Frontale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Fagiano Okayama Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fagiano Okayama 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale–
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

149%
X25%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kawasaki Frontale20%80%51%49%
Fagiano Okayama37%63%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kawasaki Frontale76%24%91%9%
Fagiano Okayama89%11%97%3%

1st Half

134%
X42%
224%

1st Score

153%
X6%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

18%

2-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.6%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.9%

0-1

6.3%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama: the stats that stand out

J-League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Kawasaki Frontale: always on the scoresheet, fast starters and leaky

Always on the scoresheet
Kawasaki Frontale0/10

Kawasaki Frontale scored in all of their last 10 (league 26% fail to score).

Fast starters
Kawasaki Frontale7/10

Kawasaki Frontale scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Leaky
Kawasaki Frontale1/10

Kawasaki Frontale kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 26%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama: attack vs defence

J-League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale: good attack, weak defence (1.79 xG, 1.47 xGA a game)
  • Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama: weak attack, good defence (1.26 xG, 1.14 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama form and luck check

J-League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki FrontaleBookmakers: 44% to win today.
    +2.0
  • Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano OkayamaBookmakers: 29% to win today.
    +0.1

Last 5 matches

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
W
W
L
D
W
7th in table
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
W
L
L
L
W
10th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Kawasaki Frontale 7th of 20 · Fagiano Okayama 11th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

J-League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama games more often than the J-League average (53%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Kawasaki Frontale8 of 10
Fagiano Okayama7 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Kawasaki Frontale9 of 10
Fagiano Okayama6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 150 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama corners, cards and goal times

J-League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the J-League average

Kawasaki Frontale

Fagiano Okayama

4.4

Corners won · league 4.6

5.9

3.4

Corners conceded · league 4.6

3.9

1.5

Cards · league 1.4

2.1

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 1.4

1.4

45%

Goals before half-time · league 38%

46%

18%

Goals after 75' · league 27%

15%

38%

Conceded before half-time · league 38%

46%

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 27%

23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
2/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
4/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
4/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
3/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
5/5

First Half Result

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
4/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
4/5

Correct Score

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
0/5
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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