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FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers

Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Fair result

Tokyo

2–0

Kashima Antlers

1.0Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Tokyo would usually take 1.6 points and Kashima Antlers 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Tokyo.

Tokyo +1.4 pts vs chancesKashima Antlers −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tokyo had more than twice the shots on target

Tokyo

Kashima Antlers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Tokyo and Kashima Antlers ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Tokyo win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kashima Antlers – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Nov 20, 2026).

Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tokyo to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,539 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.8% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,728 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,978 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,664 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Tokyo Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tokyo 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Tokyo 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,889 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Kashima Antlers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashima Antlers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

J-League - Japan

Tokyo2

Kashima Antlers0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

J-League - Japan

Tokyo2

Kashima Antlers0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

145%

X25%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	65%	35%	86%	14%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%
	33%	67%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	86%	14%	96%	4%

1st Half

132%

X43%

225%

1st Score

152%

X6%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.5%

1-0

8.2%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

7.0%

0-1

6.4%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

5.5%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.4%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers — Recent Form

Tokyo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Kashima Antlers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Tokyo

Kashima Antlers

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Tokyo

4/5

Kashima Antlers

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Tokyo

2/5

Kashima Antlers

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Tokyo

1/5

Kashima Antlers

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Tokyo

2/5

Kashima Antlers

2/5

First Half Result

Tokyo

2/5

Kashima Antlers

2/5

Correct Score

Tokyo

0/5

Kashima Antlers

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kashima Antlers – Shimizu S-Pulse prediction & betting tips (Nov 20, 2026).