Brick wall
6/10Yokohama F. Marinos kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Bore draw alert
Fewer goals than usual expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
2.2goals expected · J-League average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 56%
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy score prediction
J-League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected
2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the J-League average is 2.8).
goals expected
Yokohama F. Marinos1.5
Tokyo Verdy0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 81%Bookmakers 78%
Our track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Yokohama F. Marinos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Tokyo Verdy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Tokyo Verdy 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Yokohama F. Marinos–
Tokyo Verdy–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Yokohama F. Marinos–Tokyo Verdy–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
142%
X30%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
130%
X48%
222%
1st Score
152%
X11%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
22%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: the stats that stand out
J-League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Yokohama F. Marinos: brick wall and hard to break · Tokyo Verdy: shot-shy
6/10Shot-shy
6/10Tokyo Verdy failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Hard to break
1/10Yokohama F. Marinos conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: attack vs defence
J-League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other J-League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Yokohama F. Marinos: weak attack, good defence (1.16 xG, 1.37 xGA a game)
- Tokyo Verdy: weak attack, weak defence (0.79 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy form and luck check
J-League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 J-League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Yokohama F. MarinosBookmakers: 52% to win today.+3.6
- Tokyo VerdyBookmakers: 22% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−3.0
Last 5 matches
Yokohama F. MarinosD
D
W
D
W
Tokyo VerdyL
L
L
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Yokohama F. Marinos 8th of 20 · Tokyo Verdy 20th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
J-League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 J-League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredYokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the J-League average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Yokohama F. Marinos2 of 10
Tokyo Verdy3 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Yokohama F. Marinos4 of 10
Tokyo Verdy4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 146 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy corners, cards and goal times
J-League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameYokohama F. Marinos score early
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3.7
Corners won · league 4.6
3.3
5.3
Corners conceded · league 4.6
5.9
1.7
Cards · league 1.4
1.7
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.4
1.4
54%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
25%
15%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
25%
22%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
39%
44%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
17%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Tokyo Verdy3/5
Yokohama F. Marinos1/5
Both Teams to Score
Tokyo Verdy4/5
Yokohama F. Marinos1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Tokyo Verdy3/5
Yokohama F. Marinos2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Tokyo Verdy3/5
Yokohama F. Marinos5/5
First Half Result
Tokyo Verdy2/5
Yokohama F. Marinos2/5
Correct Score
Tokyo Verdy1/5
Yokohama F. Marinos1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction