Slow starters
2/10Eldense scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Eldense vs Granada Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Granada are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Granada 31% to winEldense 41%
Eldense vs Granada score prediction
La Liga 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, a little over the La Liga 2 average of 2.7.
goals expected
Eldense1.5
Granada1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Eldense vs Granada: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Eldense vs Granada — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · La Liga 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Granada to win
Our model 37%Bookmakers 31%
Our track record
In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,756 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,000 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Eldense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Eldense 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Granada Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Granada 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Eldense vs Granada — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Eldense vs Granada. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Eldense–
Granada–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Eldense–Granada–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
136%
X27%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
128%
X46%
226%
1st Score
151%
X6%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
X-X
18%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Eldense vs Granada: the stats that stand out
La Liga 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Eldense: slow starters · Granada: always on the scoresheet
2/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Granada failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Eldense vs Granada: attack vs defence
La Liga 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other La Liga 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Eldense: good attack, good defence (1.56 xG, 1.25 xGA a game)
- Granada: good attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.53 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Eldense vs Granada form and luck check
La Liga 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga 2 gamesGranada are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- EldenseBookmakers: 41% to win today.−0.6
- GranadaBookmakers: 31% to win today.+4.8
Last 5 matches
GranadaW
W
W
W
L
EldenseL
W
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Eldense 15th of 22 · Granada 13th of 22
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 22 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Eldense vs Granada: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
La Liga 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredGranada games go over 2.5 goals more often than the La Liga 2 average (51%), Eldense games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Eldense5 of 10
Granada6 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Eldense5 of 10
Granada6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 469 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Eldense vs Granada corners, cards and goal times
La Liga 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.7
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Granada2/5
Eldense4/5
Both Teams to Score
Granada3/5
Eldense4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Granada2/5
Eldense3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Granada3/5
Eldense3/5
First Half Result
Granada1/5
Eldense0/5
Correct Score
Granada0/5
Eldense1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction