Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe — Liga BetPlay Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 13 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Independiente Medellín37.9%11/29-12.3%Below implied probability
Santa Fe33.3%11/33-22.9%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Independiente Medellín24.1%7/29-55.7%Below implied probability
Santa Fe45.5%15/33-16.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Independiente Medellín24.1%7/29-55.2%Below implied probability
Santa Fe48.5%16/33-9.9%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.3% implied

Independiente Medellín72.4%21/29+22.1%Strongly above implied probability
Santa Fe69.7%23/33+17.5%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Independiente Medellín41.4%12/29+10.1%Strongly above implied probability
Santa Fe48.5%16/33+29%Strongly above implied probability
Independiente Medellín10.3%3/29
Santa Fe21.2%7/33

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Independiente Medellín and Santa Fe across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Santa Fe hit at 49% accuracy — that's 29% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Independiente Medellín sit 55.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín–
Santa FeSanta Fe–

Winner

1 58%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

158%
X25%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Independiente Medellín19%81%52%48%
Santa Fe48%52%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Independiente Medellín79%21%93%7%
Santa Fe96%4%99%1%

1st Half

141%
X45%
215%

1st Score

166%
X9%
225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

20%

X-X

18%

2-2

8%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.8%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

11.3%

2-1

10.8%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

6.5%

3-0

6.1%

3-1

5.0%

1-2

4.9%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe — Prediction Form & Streaks

Santa Fe have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Independiente Medellín have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
2 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row

Independiente Medellín & Santa Fe Teams in Best Form

Santa FeSanta Fe
L
W
W
D
W
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
L
W
D
L
W
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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