Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Tigres UANL vs Toluca — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 11 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
43.2% implied
Tigres UANL30%3/10-30.6%Below implied probability
Toluca50%5/10+15.7%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Tigres UANL50%5/10-8.1%Near implied probabilityToluca60%6/10+10.3%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Tigres UANL30%3/10-44.2%Below implied probabilityToluca80%8/10+48.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.3% implied
Tigres UANL70%7/10+18%Strongly above implied probabilityToluca50%5/10-15.7%Below implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Tigres UANL40%4/10+6.4%Above implied probabilityToluca80%8/10+112.8%Strongly above implied probabilityTigres UANL1/10Toluca1/10Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Tigres UANL and Toluca across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Toluca hit at 80% accuracy — that's 112.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Tigres UANL sit 44.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Tigres UANL vs Toluca — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Tigres UANL vs Toluca. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Tigres UANL–
Toluca–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Tigres UANL–Toluca–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| 37% | 63% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
17%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tigres UANL vs Toluca — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toluca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Tigres UANL have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Toluca well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Tigres UANLTolucaTigres UANLTolucaTigres UANLTolucaTigres UANLTolucaTigres UANLTolucaTigres UANLTolucaTigres UANL & Toluca Teams in Best Form
TolucaTigres UANL