Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
Our track record
In 293 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.2% of the time (bookmakers said 77.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,059 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,789 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 213 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.6% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.3% of the time (bookmakers said 52.0%).
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Le Mans 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.4% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1 72%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Winner
1 72%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 36% | 64% | |
| 61% | 39% | 86% | 14% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 39% | 80% | 20% | |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
50%
X-1
19%
X-X
9%
2-2
6%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.6%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
0-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Le Mans have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score