Fast starters
7/10Pau scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Fast starters
Pau scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 45%).
7/10Scored first · Pau
Bookmakers: Pau 53% to winGrenoble Foot 38 21%
Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 score prediction
Ligue 2
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, in line with the Ligue 2 average of 2.6.
goals expected
Pau1.5
Grenoble Foot 381.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pau to win
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pau ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Pau Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pau 2+ goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Grenoble Foot 38 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Grenoble Foot 38 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Pau–
Grenoble Foot 38–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Pau–Grenoble Foot 38–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
156%
X24%
220%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% |
| 44% | 56% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
146%
X38%
216%
1st Score
163%
X7%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38: the stats that stand out
Ligue 2
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Pau: fast starters
7/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38: attack vs defence
Ligue 2
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Pau: good attack, good defence (1.41 xG, 1.23 xGA a game)
- Grenoble Foot 38: weak attack, weak defence (0.83 xG, 1.50 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 form and luck check
Ligue 2
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 2 gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- PauBookmakers: 53% to win today.+0.4
- Grenoble Foot 38Bookmakers: 21% to win today.+3.2
Last 5 matches
PauW
W
W
L
D
Grenoble Foot 38L
L
D
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Pau 13th of 18 · Grenoble Foot 38 18th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 2
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Pau and Grenoble Foot 38 games less often than the Ligue 2 average (54%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Pau4 of 10
Grenoble Foot 384 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Pau5 of 10
Grenoble Foot 383 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Pau vs Grenoble Foot 38 corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 2
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
Pau
Grenoble Foot 38
4.1
Corners won · league 4.6
3.0
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.6
7.3
2.0
Cards · league 2.1
2.4
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.7
57%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
56%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
22%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
33%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Grenoble Foot 382/5
Pau3/5
Both Teams to Score
Grenoble Foot 381/5
Pau1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Grenoble Foot 383/5
Pau4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Grenoble Foot 385/5
Pau4/5
First Half Result
Grenoble Foot 383/5
Pau3/5
Correct Score
Grenoble Foot 381/5
Pau1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction