Reims vs Dijon 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Reims4–2
DijonOn these chances Reims would usually take 1.7 points and Dijon 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Reims.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Reims vs Dijon stats: how the match was played
Ligue 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Reims had clearly more shots on target
Reims
Dijon
7
Shots on target
4
4
Big chances
2
3
Corners
5
0
Yellow cards
1
36%
Possession
64%
Reims vs Dijon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Reims to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Reims ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Reims 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Reims 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Dijon 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Reims vs Dijon 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Reims vs Dijon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Reims4
Dijon2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Reims4Dijon2Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
19%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Reims vs Dijon — Recent Form
Reims have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Dijon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ReimsDijonOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
ReimsDijonBoth Teams to Score
ReimsDijonOver/Under 2.5 Goals
ReimsDijonOver/Under 3.5 Goals
ReimsDijonFirst Half Result
ReimsDijonCorrect Score
ReimsDijon