Slow starters
2/10Várda SE scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 49%).
Várda SE vs Puskás Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Riding their luck
Puskás are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Puskás 43% to winVárda SE 31%
Várda SE vs Puskás score prediction
NB I.
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the NB I. average is 2.9).
goals expected
Várda SE1.2
Puskás1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Várda SE vs Puskás: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Várda SE vs Puskás — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Puskás to win
Our model 57%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 1,798 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,728 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Puskás ahead at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 32%
Our track record
In 2,277 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Várda SE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 1,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Puskás Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Puskás 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 661 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Várda SE vs Puskás — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Várda SE vs Puskás. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Várda SE–
Puskás–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Várda SE–Puskás–Winner
2 57%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
120%
X23%
257%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 75% | 25% |
| 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
1st Half
120%
X38%
242%
1st Score
132%
X5%
262%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
35%
X-2
17%
X-X
14%
1-1
11%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Várda SE vs Puskás: the stats that stand out
NB I.
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Várda SE: slow starters and leaky · Puskás: always on the scoresheet
2/10Leaky
1/10Várda SE kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Puskás failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Puskás: attack vs defence
NB I.
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other NB I. teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Várda SE: weak attack, weak defence (1.05 xG, 1.89 xGA a game)
- Puskás: weak attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.66 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Puskás form and luck check
NB I.
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 NB I. gamesPuskás are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Várda SEBookmakers: 31% to win today.−0.3
- PuskásBookmakers: 43% to win today.+5.7
Last 5 matches
PuskásL
L
W
W
W
Várda SEL
D
D
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Várda SE 12th of 12 · Puskás 7th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Puskás: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
NB I.
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 NB I. gamesBTTS = both teams scoredVárda SE games go over 2.5 goals less often than the NB I. average (57%), Puskás games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
Várda SE3 of 10
Puskás6 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Várda SE7 of 10
Puskás6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 199 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Puskás corners, cards and goal times
NB I.
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.9
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 41%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Puskás3/5
Várda SE2/5
Both Teams to Score
Puskás3/5
Várda SE3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Puskás3/5
Várda SE0/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Puskás3/5
Várda SE5/5
First Half Result
Puskás3/5
Várda SE3/5
Correct Score
Puskás0/5
Várda SE2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction