1. Paksi SE vs Győri ETO

Paksi SE vs Győri ETO 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result
Paksi SEPaksi SE

1–2

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
1.7Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Paksi SE would usually take 1.5 points and Győri ETO 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Paksi SE.

Paksi SE −1.5 pts vs chancesGyőri ETO +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Paksi SE vs Győri ETO stats: how the match was played

NB I.

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Győri ETO had clearly more shots on target

Paksi SE

Győri ETO

4

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

4

8

Corners

0

3

Yellow cards

2

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Paksi SE and Győri ETO ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Győri ETO win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Győri ETO – Újpest prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Paksi SE vs Győri ETO — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Paksi SE to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 24%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 256 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Paksi SE ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Paksi SE Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paksi SE 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Paksi SE 2+ goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Győri ETO Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Győri ETO 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Paksi SE vs Győri ETO 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paksi SE vs Győri ETO. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Paksi SEPaksi SE1
Győri ETOGyőri ETO2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

132%
X25%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Paksi SE30%70%60%40%
Győri ETO23%77%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Paksi SE82%18%93%7%
Győri ETO76%24%90%10%

1st Half

128%
X42%
231%

1st Score

145%
X5%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

18%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

2-X

7%

1-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.9%

2-2

7.9%

0-1

7.1%

2-1

7.0%

1-0

5.9%

0-2

5.6%

1-3

4.9%

0-0

4.5%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.7%

3-2

3.3%

3-1

3.3%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Paksi SE vs Győri ETO — Recent Form

Győri ETO have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Paksi SE have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Győri ETOGyőri ETO
W
L
W
W
L
Paksi SEPaksi SE
L
W
W
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Paksi SEPaksi SE
3/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Paksi SEPaksi SE
3/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Paksi SEPaksi SE
3/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Paksi SEPaksi SE
4/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
4/5

First Half Result

Paksi SEPaksi SE
2/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
2/5

Correct Score

Paksi SEPaksi SE
1/5
Győri ETOGyőri ETO
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Győri ETO – Újpest prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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