Újpest vs Puskás 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Puskás won with less than half the chances
Újpest0–1
PuskásOn these chances Újpest would usually take 2.3 points and Puskás 0.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Újpest.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Újpest vs Puskás stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Újpest had clearly more shots on target
Újpest
Puskás
5
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
1
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
6
0
Red cards
1
62%
Possession
38%
Újpest vs Puskás — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Puskás to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Újpest to win.
Our track record
In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Újpest 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Újpest 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Puskás 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Újpest vs Puskás 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Újpest vs Puskás. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Újpest0
Puskás1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Újpest0Puskás1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
18%
X-X
16%
X-2
13%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Újpest vs Puskás — Recent Form
Puskás have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Újpest have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PuskásÚjpestOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PuskásÚjpestBoth Teams to Score
PuskásÚjpestOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PuskásÚjpestOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PuskásÚjpestFirst Half Result
PuskásÚjpestCorrect Score
PuskásÚjpest