Always chasing
5/6Abu Qir Semad conceded first in 5 of their last 6 (league 44%).
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Al Masry vs Abu Qir Fertilizers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Wasteful
Al Masry are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−3goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Al Masry 63% to winAbu Qir Semad 12%
Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Al Masry expected to create clearly more
2.4 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.1.
goals expected
Al Masry1.5Abu Qir Semad0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Masry to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Al Masry Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Masry 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 77 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 65–70%.
Abu Qir Semad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 86%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Masry–
Abu Qir Semad–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Al Masry–Abu Qir Semad–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
143%
X31%
226%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% |
| 42% | 58% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
131%
X50%
219%
1st Score
150%
X12%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
23%
X-1
17%
2-2
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Abu Qir Semad: always chasing and shot-shy
5/6Shot-shy
4/6Abu Qir Semad failed to score in 4 of their last 6 (league 32%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Al Masry: good attack, good defence (1.30 xG, 1.01 xGA a game)
- Abu Qir Semad: weak attack, weak defence (0.73 xG, 1.55 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Al MasryBookmakers: 63% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−1.4
- Abu Qir SemadBookmakers: 12% to win today. · 6 of 10 games−1.0
Last 5 matches
Al MasryD
L
L
L
W
Abu Qir SemadL
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Al Masry 7th of 20 · Abu Qir Semad 20th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Al Masry and Abu Qir Semad games less often than the Premier League average (49%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 37%
Al Masry3 of 10
Abu Qir Semad1 of 6
BTTSleague 49%
Al Masry4 of 10
Abu Qir Semad1 of 6
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 281 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAbu Qir Semad: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the Premier League average
Al Masry
Abu Qir Semad
4.8
Corners won · league 4.5
4.2
3.0
Corners conceded · league 4.5
6.2
2.1
Cards · league 2.0
2.2
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.2
30%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
0%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
50%
58%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
30%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al Masry1/5
Abu Qir Semad3/5
Both Teams to Score
Al Masry2/5
Abu Qir Semad4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Al Masry3/5
Abu Qir Semad4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Al Masry4/5
Abu Qir Semad5/5
First Half Result
Al Masry2/5
Abu Qir Semad3/5
Correct Score
Al Masry1/5
Abu Qir Semad0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction