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Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Ghazl El Mehalla

2–1

Al Ittihad

1.4Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Ghazl El Mehalla would usually take 1.8 points and Al Ittihad 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ittihad.

Ghazl El Mehalla +1.2 pts vs chancesAl Ittihad −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ghazl El Mehalla

Al Ittihad

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Ghazl El Mehalla and Al Ittihad ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Ittihad win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – El Geish prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad to win

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 89%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.9% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Ghazl El Mehalla Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ghazl El Mehalla 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 82%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).

Al Ittihad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Egypt

Ghazl El Mehalla2

Al Ittihad1

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 63%

Correct Score

0-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 73%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 79%

· FT

Premier League - Egypt

Ghazl El Mehalla2

Al Ittihad1

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 63%

Correct Score

0-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 73%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 79%

Full Time

127%

X35%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	46%	54%	73%	27%	79%	21%	95%	5%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	46%	54%	73%	27%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	79%	21%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	46%	54%	82%	18%	96%	4%	99%	1%
	37%	63%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	46%	54%	82%	18%
	37%	63%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	96%	4%	99%	1%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

120%

X57%

223%

1st Score

140%

X18%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

27%

X-2

18%

2-2

18%

1-1

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-0

17.6%

0-1

15.7%

1-1

14.0%

1-0

12.9%

0-2

8.0%

1-2

6.8%

2-1

5.4%

2-0

4.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — Recent Form

Al Ittihad have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Ghazl El Mehalla have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Al Ittihad

Ghazl El Mehalla

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al Ittihad

2/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Al Ittihad

3/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al Ittihad

3/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al Ittihad

5/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

4/5

First Half Result

Al Ittihad

4/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

2/5

Correct Score

Al Ittihad

0/5

Ghazl El Mehalla

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – El Geish prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).