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Everton vs Chelsea 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Everton

0–2

Chelsea

1.0Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Everton would usually take 0.8 points and Chelsea 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Chelsea.

Everton −0.8 pts vs chancesChelsea +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Everton vs Chelsea stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Chelsea had clearly more shots on target

Everton

Chelsea

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Everton and Chelsea ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Everton win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Arsenal – Everton prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Everton vs Chelsea — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Chelsea to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,461 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Everton Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Everton 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Chelsea Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chelsea 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Everton vs Chelsea 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Everton vs Chelsea. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Everton0

Chelsea2

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Premier League - England

Everton0

Chelsea2

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

142%

X25%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	55%	45%	79%	21%	93%	7%
	29%	71%	61%	39%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	55%	45%
	29%	71%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	93%	7%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

133%

X42%

225%

1st Score

154%

X5%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.6%

1-2

7.8%

1-0

7.8%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

5.9%

0-0

5.2%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.5%

1-3

3.7%

3-0

3.5%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Everton vs Chelsea — Recent Form

Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Everton have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Chelsea

Everton

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Everton

1/5

Chelsea

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Everton

1/5

Chelsea

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Everton

0/5

Chelsea

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Everton

3/5

Chelsea

3/5

First Half Result

Everton

4/5

Chelsea

3/5

Correct Score

Everton

0/5

Chelsea

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Arsenal – Everton prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).