1. Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Brick wall

Brighton & Hove Albion kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).

5/10Clean sheets · Brighton & Hove Albion
Bookmakers: Brighton & Hove Albion 67% to winCrystal Palace 14%

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace score prediction

Premier League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Brighton & Hove Albion expected to create clearly more

2.9 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win

Our model 63%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brighton & Hove Albion ahead at half-time

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brighton & Hove Albion 2+ goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crystal Palace 0–1 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion–
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace–

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

163%
X21%
216%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brighton & Hove Albion14%86%40%60%
Crystal Palace48%52%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brighton & Hove Albion66%34%85%15%
Crystal Palace94%6%99%1%

1st Half

151%
X33%
215%

1st Score

166%
X5%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

1-0

10.1%

1-1

9.9%

2-0

9.9%

3-0

7.7%

3-1

6.3%

0-0

5.1%

2-2

4.9%

1-2

4.7%

0-1

4.4%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: the stats that stand out

Premier League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Brighton & Hove Albion: brick wall · Crystal Palace: slow starters

Brick wall
Brighton & Hove Albion5/10

Brighton & Hove Albion kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).

Slow starters
Crystal Palace2/10

Crystal Palace scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: attack vs defence

Premier League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion: good attack, good defence (1.87 xG, 1.17 xGA a game)
  • Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace: weak attack, weak defence (1.43 xG, 1.76 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace form and luck check

Premier League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove AlbionBookmakers: 67% to win today.
    −2.7
  • Crystal Palace
    Crystal PalaceBookmakers: 14% to win today.
    −1.5

Last 5 matches

Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
W
W
W
D
L
3rd in table
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
W
D
L
W
L
13th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Brighton & Hove Albion 4th of 20 · Crystal Palace 16th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Premier League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion games less often than the Premier League average (56%), in Crystal Palace games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Brighton & Hove Albion7 of 10
Crystal Palace8 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Brighton & Hove Albion3 of 10
Crystal Palace7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 375 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace corners, cards and goal times

Premier League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Premier League average

Brighton & Hove Albion

Crystal Palace

5.7

Corners won · league 5.0

3.3

4.3

Corners conceded · league 5.0

6.4

1.8

Cards · league 2.0

1.4

1.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

1.3

45%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

43%

23%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

21%

67%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

57%

17%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

19%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
2/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
4/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
3/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
3/5

First Half Result

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
2/5

Correct Score

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
0/5
Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton & Hove Albion
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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