Always on the scoresheet
1/10Krasnodar failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
- Home
- Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Krasnodar vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Unlucky
Baltika are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Baltika 20% to winKrasnodar 53%
Krasnodar vs Baltika score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Krasnodar expected to create clearly more
2.4 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Krasnodar1.5
Baltika0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Krasnodar vs Baltika: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Krasnodar vs Baltika — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Krasnodar to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 6,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,161 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 6,669 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Krasnodar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Krasnodar 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Baltika Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Baltika 0–1 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Krasnodar vs Baltika — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Krasnodar vs Baltika. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Krasnodar–
Baltika–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Krasnodar–Baltika–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
149%
X27%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 42% | 58% | 76% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
136%
X44%
221%
1st Score
155%
X9%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Krasnodar vs Baltika: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Krasnodar: always on the scoresheet and hard to break · Baltika: flop as favourites
1/10Hard to break
3/10Krasnodar conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Flop as favourites
2/6Baltika won only 2 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Krasnodar vs Baltika: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Krasnodar: good attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.17 xGA a game)
- Baltika: good attack, good defence (1.42 xG, 0.83 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Krasnodar vs Baltika form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBaltika are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- KrasnodarBookmakers: 53% to win today.+2.0
- BaltikaBookmakers: 20% to win today.−4.4
Last 5 matches
KrasnodarD
L
D
D
D
BaltikaD
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Krasnodar 2nd of 16 · Baltika 6th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Krasnodar vs Baltika: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Krasnodar games more often than the Premier League average (55%), in Baltika games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Krasnodar5 of 10
Baltika5 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Krasnodar6 of 10
Baltika5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Krasnodar vs Baltika corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameKrasnodar score early, Baltika late
Krasnodar
Baltika
4.2
Corners won · league 4.6
5.1
3.6
Corners conceded · league 4.6
4.9
2.6
Cards · league 2.3
2.1
2.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.7
56%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
31%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
38%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
50%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Krasnodar0/5
Baltika1/5
Both Teams to Score
Krasnodar2/5
Baltika1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Krasnodar2/5
Baltika3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Krasnodar2/5
Baltika3/5
First Half Result
Krasnodar2/5
Baltika3/5
Correct Score
Krasnodar0/5
Baltika0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction