1. Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akron

Makhachkala vs Akron 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
MakhachkalaMakhachkala

1–1

AkronAkron
1.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Makhachkala would usually take 1.4 points and Akron 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Makhachkala.

Makhachkala −0.4 pts vs chancesAkron −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Makhachkala vs Akron stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Makhachkala had clearly more shots on target

Makhachkala

Akron

3

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

1

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

2

37%

Possession

63%

The match between Makhachkala and Akron ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Makhachkala win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zenit – Makhachkala prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Makhachkala vs Akron — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Makhachkala to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Makhachkala Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Makhachkala 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Akron Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akron 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Makhachkala vs Akron 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Makhachkala vs Akron. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MakhachkalaMakhachkala1
AkronAkron1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

146%
X27%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Makhachkala25%75%58%42%
Akron39%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Makhachkala83%17%94%6%
Akron92%8%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X47%
221%

1st Score

154%
X8%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

18%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

8.4%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.0%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Makhachkala vs Akron — Recent Form

Akron have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Makhachkala have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

AkronAkron
W
D
L
W
D
MakhachkalaMakhachkala
D
L
L
L
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
4/5
AkronAkron
1/5

Both Teams to Score

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
3/5
AkronAkron
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
1/5
AkronAkron
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
2/5
AkronAkron
4/5

First Half Result

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
4/5
AkronAkron
1/5

Correct Score

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
1/5
AkronAkron
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zenit – Makhachkala prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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