Racing vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Racing vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 9 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
43% implied
Peñarol58.6%17/29+36.3%Strongly above implied probability
Racing33.3%10/30-22.6%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Peñarol44.8%13/29-17.8%Below implied probabilityRacing53.3%16/30-2.2%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Peñarol48.3%14/29-10.2%Below implied probabilityRacing70%21/30+30.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.1% implied
Peñarol75.9%22/29+28.4%Strongly above implied probabilityRacing83.3%25/30+40.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Peñarol31%9/29-17.6%Below implied probabilityRacing50%15/30+33%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol2/29Racing6/30Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Racing and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Racing hit at 83% accuracy — that's 40.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 59.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Racing sit 22.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Racing vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Racing vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Racing–
Peñarol–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Racing–Peñarol–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 78% | 22% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
X-X
20%
X-2
17%
1-1
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Racing vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Racing have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
PeñarolRacingPeñarolRacingPeñarolRacingPeñarolRacingPeñarolRacingPeñarolRacingRacing & Peñarol Teams in Best Form
PeñarolRacing