Brick wall
4/10Al Draih kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
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Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Wasteful
Al Draih are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Al Draih 36% to winNEOM SC 38%
Al Draih vs NEOM SC score prediction
Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Pro League average is 3.0).
goals expected
Al Draih1.2
NEOM SC1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Al Draih vs NEOM SC: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Al Draih vs NEOM SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Draih to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 374 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,545 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Draih 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
NEOM SC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
NEOM SC 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Draih vs NEOM SC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Draih vs NEOM SC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Draih–
NEOM SC–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Al Draih–NEOM SC–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
146%
X26%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
135%
X42%
223%
1st Score
155%
X8%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
2-2
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Draih vs NEOM SC: the stats that stand out
Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Al Draih: brick wall and shot-shy
4/10Shot-shy
4/10Al Draih failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Draih vs NEOM SC: attack vs defence
Pro League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Pro League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Al Draih: weak attack, weak defence (1.36 xG, 1.53 xGA a game)
- NEOM SC: weak attack, good defence (1.40 xG, 1.07 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Al Draih vs NEOM SC form and luck check
Pro League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Pro League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Al DraihBookmakers: 36% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals+1.8
- NEOM SCBookmakers: 38% to win today.−0.2
Last 5 matches
NEOM SCW
L
L
D
W
Al DraihL
W
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Al Draih 8th of 18 · NEOM SC 6th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Al Draih vs NEOM SC: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAl Draih and NEOM SC games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Pro League average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Al Draih3 of 10
NEOM SC2 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Al Draih3 of 10
NEOM SC2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 347 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Draih vs NEOM SC corners, cards and goal times
Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NEOM SC3/5
Al Draih3/5
Both Teams to Score
NEOM SC2/5
Al Draih1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
NEOM SC2/5
Al Draih1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
NEOM SC4/5
Al Draih5/5
First Half Result
NEOM SC2/5
Al Draih5/5
Correct Score
NEOM SC1/5
Al Draih1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction