Juventude vs São Bernardo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)

Brick wall

Juventude kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

6/10Clean sheets · Juventude
Bookmakers: Juventude 63% to winSão Bernardo 13%

Juventude vs São Bernardo score prediction

Serie B

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Juventude expected to create clearly more

2.2 goals in total, a little under the Serie B average of 2.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Juventude vs São Bernardo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Juventude vs São Bernardo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juventude to win

Our model 43%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Juventude vs São Bernardo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Juventude vs São Bernardo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

JuventudeJuventude–
São BernardoSão Bernardo–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

143%
X28%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Juventude28%72%63%37%
São Bernardo37%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Juventude87%13%96%4%
São Bernardo92%8%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X49%
220%

1st Score

154%
X10%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

X-2

13%

2-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.6%

1-0

12.2%

0-1

9.8%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

9.6%

2-0

7.7%

1-2

7.6%

0-2

4.7%

2-2

4.3%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Juventude vs São Bernardo: the stats that stand out

Serie B

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Juventude: brick wall · São Bernardo: always on the scoresheet

Brick wall
Juventude6/10

Juventude kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Always on the scoresheet
São Bernardo1/10

São Bernardo failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 30%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Juventude vs São Bernardo: attack vs defence

Serie B

How to read it

other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • JuventudeJuventude: good attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 1.28 xGA a game)
  • São BernardoSão Bernardo: weak attack, weak defence (1.32 xG, 1.72 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Juventude vs São Bernardo form and luck check

Serie B

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Juventude
    JuventudeBookmakers: 63% to win today. · 9 of 10 games
    +2.9
  • São Bernardo
    São BernardoBookmakers: 13% to win today.
    +3.7

Last 5 matches

São BernardoSão Bernardo
L
W
D
W
W
12th in table
JuventudeJuventude
W
W
W
L
L
1st in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Juventude 2nd of 20 · São Bernardo 12th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Juventude vs São Bernardo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Serie B

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Juventude games less often than the Serie B average (49%), in São Bernardo games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 44%
Juventude4 of 10
São Bernardo4 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Juventude3 of 10
São Bernardo6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 393 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Juventude vs São Bernardo corners, cards and goal times

Serie B

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameJuventude: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Serie B average

Juventude

São Bernardo

3.3

Corners won · league 5.2

5.3

4.8

Corners conceded · league 5.2

6.0

2.3

Cards · league 2.5

1.4

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

1.6

42%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

23%

25%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

31%

43%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

44%

43%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

22%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

JuventudeJuventude
3/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
2/5

Both Teams to Score

JuventudeJuventude
4/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

JuventudeJuventude
3/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

JuventudeJuventude
5/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
4/5

First Half Result

JuventudeJuventude
3/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
4/5

Correct Score

JuventudeJuventude
0/5
São BernardoSão Bernardo
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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