Atlético GO vs Sport Recife Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)

Riding their luck

Atlético GO are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife score prediction

Serie B

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Atlético GO expected to create clearly more

2.5 goals in total, a little over the Serie B average of 2.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Atlético GO vs Sport Recife will be played on Sunday, October 11 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 33 of the Serie B, played in Brazil. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Atlético GO vs Sport Recife, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético GO vs Sport Recife. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Atlético GOAtlético GO–
Sport RecifeSport Recife–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

153%
X25%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlético GO20%80%53%47%
Sport Recife43%57%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlético GO80%20%92%8%
Sport Recife93%7%98%2%

1st Half

137%
X45%
218%

1st Score

161%
X8%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

20%

X-X

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.2%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

10.6%

2-0

9.6%

0-0

7.6%

0-1

6.9%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

4.8%

3-1

4.7%

2-2

4.7%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife: the stats that stand out

Serie B

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Atlético GO: brick wall and hard to break · Sport Recife: always on the scoresheet

Brick wall
Atlético GO6/10

Atlético GO kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Always on the scoresheet
Sport Recife0/10

Sport Recife scored in all of their last 10 (league 30% fail to score).

Hard to break
Atlético GO2/10

Atlético GO conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife: attack vs defence

Serie B

How to read it

other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Atlético GOAtlético GO: good attack, good defence (1.59 xG, 1.36 xGA a game)
  • Sport RecifeSport Recife: good attack, weak defence (1.58 xG, 1.74 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife form and luck check

Serie B

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B games

Atlético GO are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Atlético GO
    Atlético GO
    +4.1
  • Sport Recife
    Sport Recife
    +2.1

Last 5 matches

Atlético GOAtlético GO
W
W
L
W
W
6th in table
Sport RecifeSport Recife
W
W
L
W
L
7th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Atlético GO 4th of 20 · Sport Recife 9th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Serie B

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Sport Recife games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie B average (44%), Atlético GO games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 44%
Atlético GO4 of 10
Sport Recife9 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Atlético GO2 of 10
Sport Recife8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 393 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Atlético GO vs Sport Recife corners, cards and goal times

Serie B

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Atlético GO score early, Sport Recife late

Atlético GO

Sport Recife

6.8

Corners won · league 5.2

5.2

5.1

Corners conceded · league 5.2

7.3

2.0

Cards · league 2.5

1.6

2.2

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

2.1

60%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

50%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

44%

67%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

36%

0%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sport RecifeSport Recife
4/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Sport RecifeSport Recife
4/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sport RecifeSport Recife
2/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sport RecifeSport Recife
4/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
4/5

First Half Result

Sport RecifeSport Recife
1/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
2/5

Correct Score

Sport RecifeSport Recife
0/5
Atlético GOAtlético GO
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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