Kalamata vs OFI 4-3 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
KalamataKalamata

4–3

OFIOFI
1.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Kalamata would usually take 1.8 points and OFI 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: OFI.

Kalamata +1.2 pts vs chancesOFI −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kalamata vs OFI stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kalamata had more than twice the shots on target

Kalamata

OFI

9

Shots on target

3

4

Big chances

4

1

Corners

6

4

Yellow cards

2

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Kalamata and OFI ended 4-3. Our AI model correctly predicted a Kalamata win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Olympiakos Piraeus – Kalamata prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Kalamata vs OFI — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kalamata to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: OFI to win.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kalamata ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Kalamata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kalamata 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

OFI Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,272 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kalamata vs OFI 4-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kalamata vs OFI. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
KalamataKalamata4
OFIOFI3

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

150%
X24%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kalamata21%79%50%50%
OFI39%61%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kalamata75%25%89%11%
OFI88%12%96%4%

1st Half

142%
X41%
217%

1st Score

162%
X6%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-0

9.6%

2-1

9.0%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

6.1%

0-1

6.0%

0-0

5.9%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

5.0%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kalamata vs OFI — Recent Form

Kalamata have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. OFI have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

KalamataKalamata
W
W
L
W
D
OFIOFI
L
L
D
W
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

OFIOFI
3/5
KalamataKalamata
3/5

Both Teams to Score

OFIOFI
4/5
KalamataKalamata
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

OFIOFI
3/5
KalamataKalamata
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

OFIOFI
3/5
KalamataKalamata
2/5

First Half Result

OFIOFI
3/5
KalamataKalamata
1/5

Correct Score

OFIOFI
0/5
KalamataKalamata
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Olympiakos Piraeus – Kalamata prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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