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St. Gallen vs Servette Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
St. Gallen are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
St. Gallen vs Servette score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.2 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 3.4.
goals expected
St. Gallen1.7
Servette1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →St. Gallen vs Servette — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
St. Gallen to win
Our track record
In 3,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,509 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
St. Gallen 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,887 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Servette 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,604 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
St. Gallen vs Servette — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for St. Gallen vs Servette. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
St. Gallen–
Servette–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
St. Gallen–Servette–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 52% | 48% |
| 30% | 70% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
St. Gallen vs Servette: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- St. Gallen: good attack, good defence (2.03 xG, 1.43 xGA a game)
- Servette: good attack, good defence (1.71 xG, 1.40 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →St. Gallen vs Servette form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesSt. Gallen are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- St. GallenBookmakers: 54% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−5.1
- ServetteBookmakers: 24% to win today.+0.1
Last 5 matches
ServetteSt. GallenStrength rank: St. Gallen 5th of 12 · Servette 4th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →St. Gallen vs Servette: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in St. Gallen and Servette games less often than the Super League average (65%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 237 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →St. Gallen vs Servette corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameServette score early
St. Gallen
Servette
7.3
Corners won · league 5.2
5.6
4.7
Corners conceded · league 5.2
6.5
1.9
Cards · league 2.4
2.8
2.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.2
33%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
56%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
19%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
46%
5%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
St. GallenServetteBoth Teams to Score
St. GallenServetteOver/Under 2.5 Goals
St. GallenServetteOver/Under 3.5 Goals
St. GallenServetteFirst Half Result
St. GallenServetteCorrect Score
St. GallenServette