Hard to break
2/10Alanyaspor conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Riding their luck
Alanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Alanyaspor 47% to winKocaelispor 23%
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected
2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Super Lig average is 2.7).
goals expected
Alanyaspor1.3
Kocaelispor0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Alanyaspor to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Alanyaspor–
Kocaelispor–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Alanyaspor–Kocaelispor–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
149%
X27%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 42% | 58% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
137%
X43%
220%
1st Score
156%
X9%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-X
18%
X-1
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Alanyaspor: hard to break
2/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: attack vs defence
Super Lig
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super Lig teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Alanyaspor: weak attack, weak defence (1.21 xG, 1.76 xGA a game)
- Kocaelispor: weak attack, weak defence (1.06 xG, 1.54 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super Lig gamesAlanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- AlanyasporBookmakers: 47% to win today.+5.5
- KocaelisporBookmakers: 23% to win today.+3.6
Last 5 matches
KocaelisporL
W
L
W
W
AlanyasporL
D
W
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Alanyaspor 10th of 18 · Kocaelispor 13th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super Lig gamesBTTS = both teams scoredKocaelispor games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super Lig average (56%), Alanyaspor games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Alanyaspor6 of 10
Kocaelispor2 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Alanyaspor6 of 10
Kocaelispor3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 304 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Super Lig average
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
4.5
Corners won · league 4.7
3.6
3.6
Corners conceded · league 4.7
5.3
1.2
Cards · league 2.3
1.9
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.8
42%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
44%
8%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
33%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
56%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
11%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Alanyaspor1/5
Kocaelispor4/5
Both Teams to Score
Alanyaspor4/5
Kocaelispor1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Alanyaspor2/5
Kocaelispor3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Alanyaspor4/5
Kocaelispor5/5
First Half Result
Alanyaspor4/5
Kocaelispor2/5
Correct Score
Alanyaspor0/5
Kocaelispor1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction