Always chasing
8/10Samsunspor conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Samsunspor vs Amed SK Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Clinical
Amed SK are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+5goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 8 with xG
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Amed SK 46% to winSamsunspor 28%
Samsunspor vs Amed SK score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, in line with the Super Lig average of 2.8.
goals expected
Samsunspor1.3
Amed SK1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Samsunspor vs Amed SK: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Samsunspor vs Amed SK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Amed SK to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Samsunspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Samsunspor 0–1 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Amed SK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Amed SK 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Samsunspor vs Amed SK — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Samsunspor vs Amed SK. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Samsunspor–
Amed SK–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Samsunspor–Amed SK–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
134%
X27%
239%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
125%
X40%
236%
1st Score
143%
X7%
251%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
17%
X-X
15%
X-2
15%
X-1
10%
2-X
8%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Samsunspor vs Amed SK: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Samsunspor: always chasing and shot-shy
8/10Shot-shy
5/10Samsunspor failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Samsunspor vs Amed SK: attack vs defence
Super Lig
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super Lig teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Samsunspor: weak attack, weak defence (1.40 xG, 1.91 xGA a game)
- Amed SK: good attack, good defence (1.65 xG, 1.07 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Samsunspor vs Amed SK form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super Lig gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- SamsunsporBookmakers: 28% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−3.0
- Amed SKBookmakers: 46% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesClinical · +5 goals+2.8
Last 5 matches
Amed SKW
D
W
W
D
SamsunsporL
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Samsunspor 11th of 18 · Amed SK 5th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Samsunspor vs Amed SK: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Super Lig gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Samsunspor and Amed SK games less often than the Super Lig average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Samsunspor6 of 10
Amed SK6 of 8
BTTSleague 52%
Samsunspor3 of 10
Amed SK4 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Samsunspor vs Amed SK corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAmed SK: last 8 with these statsSamsunspor score early
Samsunspor
Amed SK
4.3
Corners won · league 4.7
4.5
5.2
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.4
1.3
Cards · league 2.2
3.1
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.2
2.8
60%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
28%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
22%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
33%
9%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Samsunspor3/5
Amed SK2/5
Both Teams to Score
Samsunspor1/5
Amed SK2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Samsunspor3/5
Amed SK3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Samsunspor3/5
Amed SK1/5
First Half Result
Samsunspor0/5
Amed SK1/5
Correct Score
Samsunspor0/5
Amed SK0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction