Brick wall
7/10Crvena Zvezda kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).
OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Riding their luck
Crvena Zvezda are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Crvena Zvezda 70% to winOFK Beograd 11%
OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Superliga game (average 2.6).
goals expected
OFK Beograd0.9Crvena Zvezda2.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda to win
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,529 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,363 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,999 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 4,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
OFK Beograd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
OFK Beograd 0–1 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 838 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Crvena Zvezda Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
OFK Beograd–
Crvena Zvezda–Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
OFK Beograd–Crvena Zvezda–Winner
2 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
116%
X22%
262%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 79% | 21% |
| 15% | 85% | 42% | 58% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 68% | 32% | 86% | 14% |
1st Half
115%
X38%
246%
1st Score
128%
X6%
266%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
37%
X-2
21%
X-X
12%
1-1
9%
X-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: the stats that stand out
Superliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Crvena Zvezda: brick wall, banker as favourites and fast starters
7/10Banker as favourites
9/10Crvena Zvezda won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 53%).
Fast starters
8/10Crvena Zvezda scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 43%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- OFK Beograd: weak attack, weak defence (1.35 xG, 1.42 xGA a game)
- Crvena Zvezda: good attack, good defence (2.07 xG, 0.89 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesCrvena Zvezda are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- OFK BeogradBookmakers: 11% to win today.−3.3
- Crvena ZvezdaBookmakers: 70% to win today.+4.2
Last 5 matches
Crvena ZvezdaW
W
W
W
W
OFK BeogradD
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: OFK Beograd 9th of 14 · Crvena Zvezda 1st of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in OFK Beograd games more often than the Superliga average (48%), in Crvena Zvezda games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
OFK Beograd5 of 10
Crvena Zvezda6 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
OFK Beograd7 of 10
Crvena Zvezda3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 289 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameOFK Beograd score early
OFK Beograd
Crvena Zvezda
3.0
Corners won · league 4.4
4.6
4.0
Corners conceded · league 4.4
3.4
2.5
Cards · league 2.4
2.6
3.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.0
57%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
38%
0%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
17%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
67%
22%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Crvena Zvezda5/5
OFK Beograd2/5
Both Teams to Score
Crvena Zvezda2/5
OFK Beograd1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Crvena Zvezda3/5
OFK Beograd3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Crvena Zvezda4/5
OFK Beograd3/5
First Half Result
Crvena Zvezda5/5
OFK Beograd3/5
Correct Score
Crvena Zvezda1/5
OFK Beograd2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction