Shot-shy
6/10Radnički Niš failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 32%).
Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Unlucky
Novi Pazar are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Novi Pazar 32% to winRadnički Niš 40%
Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Superliga average of 2.6.
goals expected
Radnički Niš1.4
Novi Pazar1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radnički Niš to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Radnički Niš Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radnički Niš 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Novi Pazar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Novi Pazar 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Radnički Niš–
Novi Pazar–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Radnički Niš–Novi Pazar–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
141%
X28%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
130%
X47%
223%
1st Score
150%
X10%
240%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
19%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar: the stats that stand out
Superliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Radnički Niš: shot-shy and always chasing
6/10Always chasing
6/10Radnički Niš conceded first in 6 of their last 10 (league 43%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Radnički Niš: weak attack, weak defence (1.30 xG, 1.76 xGA a game)
- Novi Pazar: good attack, good defence (1.48 xG, 1.36 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesNovi Pazar are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Radnički NišBookmakers: 40% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−2.8
- Novi PazarBookmakers: 32% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−4.9
Last 5 matches
Novi PazarL
L
D
D
W
Radnički NišL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Radnički Niš 11th of 14 · Novi Pazar 8th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredRadnički Niš and Novi Pazar games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Superliga average (50%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Radnički Niš4 of 10
Novi Pazar3 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Radnički Niš3 of 10
Novi Pazar5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 285 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Radnički Niš vs Novi Pazar corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRadnički Niš score late
Radnički Niš
Novi Pazar
4.3
Corners won · league 4.4
4.5
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.4
4.4
3.3
Cards · league 2.4
2.8
2.5
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.7
33%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
40%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
20%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
36%
13%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Novi Pazar2/5
Radnički Niš4/5
Both Teams to Score
Novi Pazar1/5
Radnički Niš4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Novi Pazar2/5
Radnički Niš3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Novi Pazar4/5
Radnički Niš3/5
First Half Result
Novi Pazar3/5
Radnički Niš1/5
Correct Score
Novi Pazar1/5
Radnički Niš0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction