1. IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Bore draw alert

Fewer goals than usual expected in IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo

2.2goals expected · Superliga average 2.6

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 58%

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected

2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Superliga average is 2.6).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IMT Novi Beograd to win

Our model 37%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

IMT Novi Beograd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Železničar Pančevo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Železničar Pančevo 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,272 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd–
Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

137%
X28%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
IMT Novi Beograd32%68%67%33%
Železničar Pančevo34%66%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
IMT Novi Beograd88%12%97%3%
Železničar Pančevo89%11%97%3%

1st Half

129%
X45%
226%

1st Score

148%
X10%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

19%

X-X

18%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

11.5%

0-1

10.7%

0-0

9.9%

2-1

7.8%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

7.0%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

IMT Novi Beograd: always chasing · Železničar Pančevo: banker as favourites

Always chasing
IMT Novi Beograd6/10

IMT Novi Beograd conceded first in 6 of their last 10 (league 43%).

Banker as favourites
Železničar Pančevo5/7

Železničar Pančevo won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd: weak attack, good defence (1.40 xG, 0.93 xGA a game)
  • Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo: good attack, good defence (1.65 xG, 0.88 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

Both results in line with their chances

  • IMT Novi Beograd
    IMT Novi BeogradBookmakers: 36% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals
    −1.6
  • Železničar Pančevo
    Železničar PančevoBookmakers: 36% to win today.
    −1.2

Last 5 matches

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
W
W
W
L
W
4th in table
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
W
W
D
L
D
3rd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: IMT Novi Beograd 6th of 14 · Železničar Pančevo 4th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

IMT Novi Beograd games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Superliga average (50%), Železničar Pančevo games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
IMT Novi Beograd3 of 10
Železničar Pančevo5 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
IMT Novi Beograd5 of 10
Železničar Pančevo4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 285 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

IMT Novi Beograd score late

IMT Novi Beograd

Železničar Pančevo

4.5

Corners won · league 4.4

5.6

3.5

Corners conceded · league 4.4

2.6

2.3

Cards · league 2.4

3.1

2.6

Opponents' cards · league 2.4

3.3

20%

Goals before half-time · league 45%

31%

40%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

25%

63%

Conceded before half-time · league 45%

44%

25%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

22%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
5/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
4/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
1/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
5/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
5/5

First Half Result

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
1/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
2/5

Correct Score

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
0/5
IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd
3/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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