Brick wall
5/10Radnički Kragujevac kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).
Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Riding their luck
Radnički Kragujevac are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Radnički Kragujevac 45% to winNovi Pazar 27%
Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Radnički Kragujevac expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Superliga average of 2.6.
goals expected
Radnički Kragujevac1.6
Novi Pazar1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac to win
Our model 61%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,545 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 34%
Our track record
In 549 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 34.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Radnički Kragujevac Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radnički Kragujevac 2+ goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Novi Pazar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Novi Pazar 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Radnički Kragujevac–
Novi Pazar–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Radnički Kragujevac–Novi Pazar–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
161%
X23%
217%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
| 48% | 52% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
146%
X40%
215%
1st Score
168%
X7%
225%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
20%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.1%
2-1
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar: the stats that stand out
Superliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Radnički Kragujevac: brick wall · Novi Pazar: fast starters
5/10Fast starters
6/10Novi Pazar scored first in 6 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Radnički Kragujevac: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Novi Pazar: good attack, good defence (1.42 xG, 1.29 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesRadnički Kragujevac are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Radnički KragujevacBookmakers: 45% to win today.+4.0
- Novi PazarBookmakers: 27% to win today.−1.9
Last 5 matches
Radnički KragujevacL
W
L
L
W
Novi PazarW
L
L
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Radnički Kragujevac 5th of 14 · Novi Pazar 7th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNovi Pazar games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Superliga average (49%), Radnički Kragujevac games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Radnički Kragujevac5 of 10
Novi Pazar2 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Radnički Kragujevac3 of 10
Novi Pazar4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 284 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Radnički Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.4
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Radnički Kragujevac4/5
Novi Pazar1/5
Both Teams to Score
Radnički Kragujevac2/5
Novi Pazar2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Radnički Kragujevac3/5
Novi Pazar2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Radnički Kragujevac4/5
Novi Pazar4/5
First Half Result
Radnički Kragujevac2/5
Novi Pazar2/5
Correct Score
Radnički Kragujevac1/5
Novi Pazar1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction