Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Novi Pazar are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.3 goals expected
2.3 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Superliga average is 2.6).
goals expected
Novi Pazar1.2
IMT Novi Beograd1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Novi Pazar to win
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Novi Pazar 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Novi Pazar–
IMT Novi Beograd–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Novi Pazar–IMT Novi Beograd–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 87% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
17%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Novi Pazar: good attack, good defence (1.56 xG, 1.36 xGA a game)
- IMT Novi Beograd: good attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 0.87 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesNovi Pazar are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Novi PazarBookmakers: 39% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−4.5
- IMT Novi BeogradBookmakers: 33% to win today.−2.9
Last 5 matches
IMT Novi BeogradNovi PazarStrength rank: Novi Pazar 8th of 14 · IMT Novi Beograd 6th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNovi Pazar and IMT Novi Beograd games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Superliga average (50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 290 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameIMT Novi Beograd score late
Novi Pazar
IMT Novi Beograd
4.7
Corners won · league 4.4
5.1
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.4
3.3
2.6
Cards · league 2.4
2.1
2.5
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.4
44%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
25%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
42%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
71%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Novi PazarIMT Novi BeogradBoth Teams to Score
Novi PazarIMT Novi BeogradOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Novi PazarIMT Novi BeogradOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Novi PazarIMT Novi BeogradFirst Half Result
Novi PazarIMT Novi BeogradCorrect Score
Novi PazarIMT Novi Beograd