Brick wall
7/10Crvena Zvezda kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).
Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Mladost Lučani are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Crvena Zvezda are also ahead of their chances: about +5 points.
Bookmakers: Mladost Lučani 3% to winCrvena Zvezda 89%
Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani score prediction
Superliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.5 goals expected
3.5 goals in total: more goals than a typical Superliga game (average 2.6).
goals expected
Crvena Zvezda2.9
Mladost Lučani0.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda to win
Our model 89%Bookmakers 89%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time
Our model 72%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Crvena Zvezda Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 82%
Our track record
In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Mladost Lučani Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mladost Lučani 0–1 goals
Our model 95%Bookmakers 91%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crvena Zvezda–
Mladost Lučani–Winner
1 88%
BTTS*
No 64%
Correct Score
3-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Crvena Zvezda–Mladost Lučani–Winner
1 88%
BTTS*
No 64%
Correct Score
3-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
188%
X9%
23%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 63% | 37% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 95% | 20% | 80% |
| 76% | 24% | 95% | 5% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 65% | 35% |
| 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
172%
X23%
25%
1st Score
186%
X3%
211%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
70%
X-1
17%
X-X
5%
1-X
2%
2-1
2%
X-2
1%
2-X
1%
2-2
1%
1-2
0%
Correct Score
3-0
14.5%
2-0
14.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-1
4.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani: the stats that stand out
Superliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Crvena Zvezda: brick wall, banker as favourites and fast starters
7/10Banker as favourites
9/10Crvena Zvezda won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 53%).
Fast starters
8/10Crvena Zvezda scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 43%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani: attack vs defence
Superliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Crvena Zvezda: good attack, good defence (2.02 xG, 0.96 xGA a game)
- Mladost Lučani: weak attack, weak defence (1.05 xG, 1.61 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani form and luck check
Superliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga gamesBoth sides are winning more than their chances suggest
- Crvena ZvezdaBookmakers: 89% to win today.+4.7
- Mladost LučaniBookmakers: 3% to win today.+6.9
Last 5 matches
Crvena ZvezdaW
W
W
W
D
Mladost LučaniD
W
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Crvena Zvezda 1st of 14 · Mladost Lučani 12th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Superliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Crvena Zvezda and Mladost Lučani games less often than the Superliga average (49%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Crvena Zvezda6 of 10
Mladost Lučani4 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Crvena Zvezda3 of 10
Mladost Lučani3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 290 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani corners, cards and goal times
Superliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMladost Lučani score late
Crvena Zvezda
Mladost Lučani
4.2
Corners won · league 4.4
3.0
3.5
Corners conceded · league 4.4
6.0
2.6
Cards · league 2.4
2.6
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.2
45%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
44%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
33%
100%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
55%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
36%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Crvena Zvezda4/5
Mladost Lučani2/5
Both Teams to Score
Crvena Zvezda2/5
Mladost Lučani3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Crvena Zvezda2/5
Mladost Lučani3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Crvena Zvezda5/5
Mladost Lučani4/5
First Half Result
Crvena Zvezda5/5
Mladost Lučani2/5
Correct Score
Crvena Zvezda1/5
Mladost Lučani0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction