Fast starters
7/10Gimnasia La Plata scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Fast starters
Gimnasia La Plata scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
7/10Scored first · Gimnasia La Plata
Bookmakers: Gimnasia La Plata 51% to winAtlético Tucumán 21%
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán score prediction
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.2 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.
goals expected
Gimnasia La Plata1.2
Atlético Tucumán1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia La Plata to win
Our model 45%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 3,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 3,044 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 4,431 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Gimnasia La Plata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,343 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Atlético Tucumán Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,266 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Gimnasia La Plata–
Atlético Tucumán–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Gimnasia La Plata–Atlético Tucumán–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
145%
X27%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
126%
X53%
221%
1st Score
150%
X9%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
21%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán: the stats that stand out
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Gimnasia La Plata: fast starters and always on the scoresheet · Atlético Tucumán: brick wall
7/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Gimnasia La Plata failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 34%).
Brick wall
5/10Atlético Tucumán kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 34%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán: attack vs defence
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Gimnasia La Plata: good attack, weak defence (1.52 xG, 1.43 xGA a game)
- Atlético Tucumán: weak attack, good defence (1.08 xG, 1.22 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán form and luck check
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Gimnasia La PlataBookmakers: 51% to win today.+3.9
- Atlético TucumánBookmakers: 21% to win today.−0.8
Last 5 matches
Gimnasia La PlataD
D
D
W
W
Atlético TucumánL
L
L
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Gimnasia La Plata 18th of 30 · Atlético Tucumán 17th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Gimnasia La Plata games more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (45%), in Atlético Tucumán games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Gimnasia La Plata6 of 10
Atlético Tucumán4 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Gimnasia La Plata7 of 10
Atlético Tucumán4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 511 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán corners, cards and goal times
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAtlético Tucumán score late
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
3.6
Corners won · league 4.4
5.9
4.4
Corners conceded · league 4.4
3.6
2.5
Cards · league 2.6
1.8
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 2.6
1.9
27%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
22%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
67%
36%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
11%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Gimnasia La Plata0/5
Atlético Tucumán1/5
Both Teams to Score
Gimnasia La Plata1/5
Atlético Tucumán2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Gimnasia La Plata2/5
Atlético Tucumán2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Gimnasia La Plata4/5
Atlético Tucumán4/5
First Half Result
Gimnasia La Plata2/5
Atlético Tucumán2/5
Correct Score
Gimnasia La Plata1/5
Atlético Tucumán1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction