1. Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland

Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

Midtjylland are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Midtjylland 32% to winNordsjælland 45%

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.0 goals in total, in line with the Superliga average of 3.0.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 54%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 50%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Nordsjælland Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.

Midtjylland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

NordsjællandNordsjælland–
MidtjyllandMidtjylland–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

146%
X26%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nordsjælland24%76%56%44%
Midtjylland36%64%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nordsjælland81%19%93%7%
Midtjylland90%10%97%3%

1st Half

130%
X43%
227%

1st Score

148%
X7%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

19%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

10.7%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

7.9%

2-0

7.8%

0-0

7.0%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

4.6%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Midtjylland: fast starters and always on the scoresheet · Nordsjælland: brick wall

Fast starters
Midtjylland8/10

Midtjylland scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Always on the scoresheet
Midtjylland0/10

Midtjylland scored in all of their last 10 (league 23% fail to score).

Brick wall
Nordsjælland4/10

Nordsjælland kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 23%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • NordsjællandNordsjælland: good attack, good defence (1.67 xG, 1.40 xGA a game)
  • MidtjyllandMidtjylland: good attack, good defence (1.49 xG, 1.40 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

Midtjylland are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Nordsjælland
    NordsjællandBookmakers: 45% to win today.
    −0.6
  • Midtjylland
    MidtjyllandBookmakers: 32% to win today.
    +6.3

Last 5 matches

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
W
W
W
D
W
1st in table
NordsjællandNordsjælland
D
D
D
L
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Nordsjælland 4th of 12 · Midtjylland 2nd of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Midtjylland games more often than the Superliga average (60%), in Nordsjælland games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 59%
Nordsjælland5 of 10
Midtjylland5 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Nordsjælland5 of 10
Midtjylland8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 187 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs Midtjylland corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.1
  • Cards: league 1.8
  • Goals before half-time: league 47%
  • Goals after 75': league 24%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
4/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
1/5

Both Teams to Score

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
5/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
4/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
3/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
3/5

First Half Result

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
2/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
0/5

Correct Score

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
1/5
NordsjællandNordsjælland
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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