1. FC København vs AGF

FC København vs AGF Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Unlucky

AGF are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. FC Copenhagen are the other way round, ahead of their chances: about +5 points.

Bookmakers: AGF 18% to winFC Copenhagen 59%

FC Copenhagen vs AGF score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

FC Copenhagen expected to create clearly more

3.1 goals in total, a little over the Superliga average of 3.0.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for FC Copenhagen vs AGF: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

FC Copenhagen vs AGF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen to win

Our model 65%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,341 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen ahead at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

FC Copenhagen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen 2+ goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

AGF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AGF 0–1 goals

Our model 80%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Copenhagen vs AGF — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Copenhagen vs AGF. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen–
AGFAGF–

Winner

1 65%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

165%
X21%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Copenhagen13%87%38%62%
AGF50%50%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Copenhagen66%34%84%16%
AGF94%6%98%2%

1st Half

145%
X38%
217%

1st Score

165%
X5%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

19%

X-X

11%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

10.7%

2-1

10.4%

2-0

10.3%

1-1

9.0%

3-0

7.3%

3-1

6.4%

0-0

5.3%

2-2

5.1%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

4.0%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Copenhagen vs AGF: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

AGF: flop as favourites · FC Copenhagen: brick wall and always on the scoresheet

Flop as favourites
AGF1/7

AGF won only 1 of 7 as favourites (league 51%).

Brick wall
FC Copenhagen5/10

FC Copenhagen kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).

Always on the scoresheet
FC Copenhagen1/10

FC Copenhagen failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 25%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

FC Copenhagen vs AGF: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen: good attack, good defence (1.64 xG, 1.13 xGA a game)
  • AGFAGF: good attack, weak defence (1.73 xG, 1.55 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

FC Copenhagen vs AGF form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

FC Copenhagen riding their luck, AGF unlucky

  • FC Copenhagen
    FC CopenhagenBookmakers: 59% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals
    +5.3
  • AGF
    AGFBookmakers: 18% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals
    −7.5

Last 5 matches

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
L
W
W
W
W
1st in table
AGFAGF
W
D
L
D
L
10th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: FC Copenhagen 1st of 12 · AGF 3rd of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

FC Copenhagen vs AGF: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in FC Copenhagen games less often than the Superliga average (57%), in AGF games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
FC Copenhagen7 of 10
AGF7 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
FC Copenhagen4 of 10
AGF7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 187 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

FC Copenhagen vs AGF corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Superliga average

FC Copenhagen

AGF

4.3

Corners won · league 5.1

6.7

3.7

Corners conceded · league 5.1

3.4

1.9

Cards · league 1.8

1.4

1.6

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

2.5

54%

Goals before half-time · league 47%

43%

21%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

29%

80%

Conceded before half-time · league 47%

47%

0%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
5/5
AGFAGF
3/5

Both Teams to Score

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1/5
AGFAGF
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
2/5
AGFAGF
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
4/5
AGFAGF
3/5

First Half Result

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
3/5
AGFAGF
2/5

Correct Score

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
0/5
AGFAGF
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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