1. Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanța

Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanța Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fast starters

Universitatea Craiova scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).

8/10Scored first · Universitatea Craiova
Bookmakers: Universitatea Craiova 70% to winSSC Farul 11%

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Universitatea Craiova expected to score more than twice as many as SSC Farul

2.8 goals in total, a little over the Superliga average of 2.5.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova to win

Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova ahead at half-time

Our model 46%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Universitatea Craiova Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

SSC Farul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SSC Farul 0–1 goals

Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova–
SSC FarulSSC Farul–

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

166%
X20%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Universitatea Craiova12%88%38%62%
SSC Farul50%50%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Universitatea Craiova66%34%85%15%
SSC Farul96%4%99%1%

1st Half

145%
X39%
215%

1st Score

166%
X5%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

21%

X-X

13%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

11.2%

1-0

10.9%

2-0

10.6%

1-1

9.9%

3-0

8.2%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

5.3%

2-2

4.4%

1-2

4.2%

0-1

4.1%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Universitatea Craiova: fast starters, brick wall and always on the scoresheet

Fast starters
Universitatea Craiova8/10

Universitatea Craiova scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Brick wall
Universitatea Craiova5/10

Universitatea Craiova kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Always on the scoresheet
Universitatea Craiova1/10

Universitatea Craiova failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 30%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova: good attack, good defence (2.28 xG, 1.17 xGA a game)
  • SSC FarulSSC Farul: weak attack, good defence (1.59 xG, 1.38 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Universitatea Craiova
    Universitatea CraiovaBookmakers: 70% to win today.
    −1.9
  • SSC Farul
    SSC FarulBookmakers: 11% to win today.
    +1.8

Last 5 matches

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
W
W
W
W
D
3rd in table
SSC FarulSSC Farul
W
L
W
D
D
6th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Universitatea Craiova 1st of 16 · SSC Farul 7th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in SSC Farul games more often than the Superliga average (48%), in Universitatea Craiova games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 46%
Universitatea Craiova5 of 10
SSC Farul5 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Universitatea Craiova4 of 10
SSC Farul6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 312 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

SSC Farul score early

Universitatea Craiova

SSC Farul

5.0

Corners won · league 4.8

4.4

3.5

Corners conceded · league 4.8

4.6

1.8

Cards · league 2.2

1.4

2.4

Opponents' cards · league 2.2

2.6

29%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

69%

19%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

19%

33%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

46%

44%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

SSC FarulSSC Farul
3/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
4/5

Both Teams to Score

SSC FarulSSC Farul
2/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

SSC FarulSSC Farul
4/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

SSC FarulSSC Farul
2/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
3/5

First Half Result

SSC FarulSSC Farul
2/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
1/5

Correct Score

SSC FarulSSC Farul
0/5
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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