Croatia vs England Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Croatia vs England — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
England to win
Our track record
In 3,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,035 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.3%).
Our model’s pick
England ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 39.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.4%).
Our model’s pick
Croatia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,173 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
England 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 881 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Croatia vs England — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Croatia vs England. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Croatia–
England–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Croatia–England–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
 | 22% | 78% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
20%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Croatia vs England — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CroatiaEnglandBoth Teams to Score
CroatiaEnglandOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CroatiaEnglandOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CroatiaEnglandFirst Half Result
CroatiaEnglandCorrect Score
CroatiaEngland