Brick wall
4/10Rot-Weiss Essen kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 21%).
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Unlucky
Jahn Regensburg are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Jahn Regensburg 22% to winRot-Weiss Essen 56%
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg score prediction
3. Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Rot-Weiss Essen expected to create clearly more
3.5 goals in total, a little over the 3. Liga average of 3.3.
goals expected
Rot-Weiss Essen2.1
Jahn Regensburg1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rot-Weiss Essen to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rot-Weiss Essen 2+ goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Jahn Regensburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Jahn Regensburg 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Rot-Weiss Essen–
Jahn Regensburg–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Rot-Weiss Essen–Jahn Regensburg–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
153%
X23%
223%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
| 38% | 62% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
136%
X41%
223%
1st Score
156%
X5%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.4%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: the stats that stand out
3. Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rot-Weiss Essen: brick wall · Jahn Regensburg: hard to break
4/10Hard to break
3/10Jahn Regensburg conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: attack vs defence
3. Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Rot-Weiss Essen: good attack, good defence (1.71 xG, 1.00 xGA a game)
- Jahn Regensburg: good attack, good defence (1.39 xG, 1.21 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg form and luck check
3. Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga gamesJahn Regensburg are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Rot-Weiss EssenBookmakers: 56% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−1.6
- Jahn RegensburgBookmakers: 22% to win today.−4.6
Last 5 matches
Rot-Weiss EssenL
W
D
D
W
Jahn RegensburgD
D
W
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Rot-Weiss Essen 1st of 20 · Jahn Regensburg 9th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
3. Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredRot-Weiss Essen games go over 2.5 goals less often than the 3. Liga average (64%), Jahn Regensburg games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Rot-Weiss Essen4 of 10
Jahn Regensburg8 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Rot-Weiss Essen5 of 10
Jahn Regensburg7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Regensburg corners, cards and goal times
3. Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameJahn Regensburg score early, Rot-Weiss Essen late
Rot-Weiss Essen
Jahn Regensburg
5.3
Corners won · league 5.2
3.9
4.5
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.3
2.7
Cards · league 2.4
2.7
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.3
39%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
55%
39%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
5%
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
37%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Jahn Regensburg2/5
Rot-Weiss Essen1/5
Both Teams to Score
Jahn Regensburg3/5
Rot-Weiss Essen3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Jahn Regensburg4/5
Rot-Weiss Essen2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Jahn Regensburg2/5
Rot-Weiss Essen4/5
First Half Result
Jahn Regensburg2/5
Rot-Weiss Essen3/5
Correct Score
Jahn Regensburg0/5
Rot-Weiss Essen1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction