Home
Leagues
3. Liga
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Waldhof Mannheim

4–1

Hoffenheim II

2.3Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Waldhof Mannheim would usually take 2.1 points and Hoffenheim II 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Waldhof Mannheim.

Waldhof Mannheim +0.9 pts vs chancesHoffenheim II −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II stats: how the match was played

3. Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Waldhof Mannheim

Hoffenheim II

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

42%

The match between Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II ended 4-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Waldhof Mannheim win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Waldhof Mannheim to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 36%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Waldhof Mannheim Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Waldhof Mannheim 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Hoffenheim II Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hoffenheim II 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Waldhof Mannheim4

Hoffenheim II1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

· FT

3. Liga - Germany

Waldhof Mannheim4

Hoffenheim II1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

144%

X22%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	50%	50%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	50%	50%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	51%	49%	76%	24%	91%	9%
	30%	70%	60%	40%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	51%	49%
	30%	70%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	91%	9%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

135%

X36%

228%

1st Score

152%

X4%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

20%

X-1

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.4%

1-2

7.5%

1-0

6.9%

2-2

6.2%

0-1

6.1%

2-0

6.0%

3-1

5.1%

0-2

4.5%

0-0

4.2%

3-2

4.1%

1-3

3.7%

3-0

3.6%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II — Recent Form

Waldhof Mannheim have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Hoffenheim II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Waldhof Mannheim

Hoffenheim II

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hoffenheim II

5/5

Waldhof Mannheim

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Hoffenheim II

4/5

Waldhof Mannheim

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hoffenheim II

4/5

Waldhof Mannheim

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hoffenheim II

2/5

Waldhof Mannheim

3/5

First Half Result

Hoffenheim II

1/5

Waldhof Mannheim

1/5

Correct Score

Hoffenheim II

0/5

Waldhof Mannheim

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hoffenheim II – Viktoria Köln prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).