Flop as favourites
2/7Alemannia Aachen won only 2 of 7 as favourites (league 48%).
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Wasteful
Alemannia Aachen are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Alemannia Aachen 52% to winPreußen Münster 23%
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster score prediction
3. Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Alemannia Aachen expected to create clearly more
3.3 goals in total, in line with the 3. Liga average of 3.3.
goals expected
Alemannia Aachen2.0
Preußen Münster1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Alemannia Aachen to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 1,205 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Alemannia Aachen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Alemannia Aachen 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Preußen Münster Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Preußen Münster 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Alemannia Aachen–
Preußen Münster–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Alemannia Aachen–Preußen Münster–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
140%
X25%
235%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 55% | 45% |
| 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
132%
X40%
229%
1st Score
151%
X5%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-0
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster: the stats that stand out
3. Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Alemannia Aachen: flop as favourites
2/7Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster: attack vs defence
3. Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Alemannia Aachen: good attack, good defence (1.35 xG, 1.30 xGA a game)
- Preußen Münster: weak attack, good defence (0.99 xG, 1.21 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster form and luck check
3. Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Alemannia AachenBookmakers: 52% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−1.0
- Preußen MünsterBookmakers: 23% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+0.1
Last 5 matches
Alemannia AachenW
W
L
L
W
Preußen MünsterW
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Alemannia Aachen 4th of 20 · Preußen Münster 14th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
3. Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Alemannia Aachen games less often than the 3. Liga average (63%), in Preußen Münster games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Alemannia Aachen6 of 10
Preußen Münster7 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Alemannia Aachen4 of 10
Preußen Münster8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster corners, cards and goal times
3. Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Alemannia Aachen1/5
Preußen Münster2/5
Both Teams to Score
Alemannia Aachen2/5
Preußen Münster3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Alemannia Aachen3/5
Preußen Münster3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Alemannia Aachen4/5
Preußen Münster3/5
First Half Result
Alemannia Aachen1/5
Preußen Münster2/5
Correct Score
Alemannia Aachen1/5
Preußen Münster0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction