1. Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

MSV Duisburg are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg score prediction

3. Liga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.1 goals in total, a little under the 3. Liga average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg will be played on Saturday, November 7 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 13 of the 3. Liga, played in Germany. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster–
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg–

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

131%
X24%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Preußen Münster32%68%64%36%
MSV Duisburg23%77%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Preußen Münster85%15%95%5%
MSV Duisburg77%23%91%9%

1st Half

128%
X39%
233%

1st Score

142%
X5%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

19%

X-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-2

9.3%

0-1

8.0%

2-1

7.2%

2-2

6.6%

1-0

6.5%

0-2

6.3%

0-0

5.1%

1-3

5.1%

2-0

4.2%

0-3

3.8%

2-3

3.4%

3-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg: the stats that stand out

3. Liga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

MSV Duisburg: always on the scoresheet and banker as favourites

Always on the scoresheet
MSV Duisburg0/10

MSV Duisburg scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).

Banker as favourites
MSV Duisburg6/9

MSV Duisburg won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg: attack vs defence

3. Liga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster: weak attack, good defence (0.99 xG, 1.21 xGA a game)
  • MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg: good attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.13 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg form and luck check

3. Liga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga games

MSV Duisburg are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Preußen Münster
    Preußen MünsterClinical · +3 goals
    +0.1
  • MSV Duisburg
    MSV DuisburgClinical · +7 goals
    +5.1

Last 5 matches

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
L
D
W
W
W
1st in table
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
W
L
L
D
L
11th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Preußen Münster 14th of 20 · MSV Duisburg 2nd of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

3. Liga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Preußen Münster and MSV Duisburg games more often than the 3. Liga average (63%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Preußen Münster7 of 10
MSV Duisburg9 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Preußen Münster8 of 10
MSV Duisburg9 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg corners, cards and goal times

3. Liga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.2
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 45%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
3/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
2/5

Both Teams to Score

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
5/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
4/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
2/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
3/5

First Half Result

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
1/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
2/5

Correct Score

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
1/5
Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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