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Melbourne Victory vs Auckland 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory

0–0

AucklandAuckland
1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Melbourne Victory would usually take 1.3 points and Auckland 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Auckland.

Melbourne Victory −0.3 pts vs chancesAuckland −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Auckland had more than twice the shots on target

Melbourne Victory

Auckland

2

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

2

0

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

3

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Auckland win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brisbane Roar – Auckland prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auckland to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Melbourne Victory Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Melbourne Victory 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Auckland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auckland 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Melbourne Victory vs Auckland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
A-League Men - Australia
Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory0
AucklandAuckland0

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

129%
X25%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Melbourne Victory36%64%68%32%
Auckland23%77%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Melbourne Victory88%12%96%4%
Auckland79%21%92%8%

1st Half

123%
X40%
237%

1st Score

139%
X7%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

18%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

0-1

9.8%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

7.6%

2-1

7.1%

1-0

7.0%

0-0

6.6%

2-2

5.7%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

4.3%

2-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brisbane Roar – Auckland prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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