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Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 12)

Fair result

Perth Glory

3–0

Central Coast Mariners

2.7Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Perth Glory would usually take 2.4 points and Central Coast Mariners 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Perth Glory.

Perth Glory +0.6 pts vs chancesCentral Coast Mariners −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Perth Glory had more than twice the shots on target

Perth Glory

Central Coast Mariners

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Perth Glory and Central Coast Mariners ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an Central Coast Mariners win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wellington Phoenix – Central Coast Mariners prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Coast Mariners to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Perth Glory to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 19%

Our track record

In 1,060 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 942 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Perth Glory ahead at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 1,215 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Perth Glory Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Perth Glory 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Perth Glory 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Central Coast Mariners Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Coast Mariners 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

A-League Men - Australia

Perth Glory3

Central Coast Mariners0

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

A-League Men - Australia

Perth Glory3

Central Coast Mariners0

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

135%

X22%

243%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%	47%	53%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	58%	42%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	24%	76%	52%	48%	76%	24%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	58%	42%
	24%	76%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	76%	24%	90%	10%

1st Half

131%

X38%

231%

1st Score

150%

X4%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

22%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.1%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.4%

1-0

6.2%

0-2

5.3%

1-3

5.2%

2-0

4.7%

3-1

4.3%

2-3

3.9%

0-0

3.7%

3-2

3.6%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wellington Phoenix – Central Coast Mariners prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).