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Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

Robbed

Western Sydney Wanderers drew despite more chances

Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar

2–2

Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers
1.5Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Brisbane Roar would usually take 0.9 points and Western Sydney Wanderers 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Brisbane Roar.

Brisbane Roar +0.1 pts vs chancesWestern Sydney Wanderers −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Brisbane Roar had clearly more shots on target

Brisbane Roar

Western Sydney Wanderers

7

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

5

0

Corners

10

2

Yellow cards

2

31%

Possession

69%

The match between Brisbane Roar and Western Sydney Wanderers ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Western Sydney Wanderers win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Western Sydney Wanderers – Auckland prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Western Sydney Wanderers to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Brisbane Roar to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Brisbane Roar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brisbane Roar 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Western Sydney Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Brisbane Roar vs Western Sydney Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
A-League Men - Australia
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2
Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers2

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

135%
X23%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Brisbane Roar29%71%59%41%
Western Sydney Wanderers24%76%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Brisbane Roar81%19%93%7%
Western Sydney Wanderers78%22%91%9%

1st Half

127%
X38%
235%

1st Score

143%
X4%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

18%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

7.8%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

6.5%

1-0

6.3%

0-2

5.7%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

4.7%

0-0

4.3%

3-1

4.1%

2-3

3.6%

3-2

3.3%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Western Sydney Wanderers – Auckland prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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