Shot-shy
4/10Wolfsberger AC failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 25%).
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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Wolfsberger AC are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Wolfsberger AC 19% to winSturm Graz 60%
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz score prediction
Admiral Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Admiral Bundesliga average of 2.8.
goals expected
Wolfsberger AC1.3
Sturm Graz1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Admiral Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sturm Graz to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,371 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,213 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Wolfsberger AC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wolfsberger AC 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Sturm Graz Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sturm Graz 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wolfsberger AC–
Sturm Graz–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Wolfsberger AC–Sturm Graz–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
135%
X25%
240%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
129%
X39%
233%
1st Score
147%
X6%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
20%
X-X
15%
X-1
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: the stats that stand out
Admiral Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Wolfsberger AC: shot-shy and slow starters · Sturm Graz: brick wall
4/10Brick wall
4/10Sturm Graz kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Slow starters
3/10Wolfsberger AC scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: attack vs defence
Admiral Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Wolfsberger AC: weak attack, weak defence (1.21 xG, 1.95 xGA a game)
- Sturm Graz: good attack, good defence (1.92 xG, 1.39 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz form and luck check
Admiral Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Wolfsberger ACBookmakers: 19% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−3.6
- Sturm GrazBookmakers: 60% to win today.+2.1
Last 5 matches
Sturm GrazW
W
L
W
L
Wolfsberger ACL
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Wolfsberger AC 10th of 12 · Sturm Graz 3rd of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Admiral Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSturm Graz games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (55%), Wolfsberger AC games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Wolfsberger AC7 of 10
Sturm Graz4 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Wolfsberger AC5 of 10
Sturm Graz5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 190 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz corners, cards and goal times
Admiral Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Admiral Bundesliga average
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
4.5
Corners won · league 4.9
7.7
5.7
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.4
2.8
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.7
38%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
39%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
22%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
60%
30%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
30%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Sturm Graz3/5
Wolfsberger AC4/5
Both Teams to Score
Sturm Graz3/5
Wolfsberger AC2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Sturm Graz4/5
Wolfsberger AC3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Sturm Graz3/5
Wolfsberger AC3/5
First Half Result
Sturm Graz2/5
Wolfsberger AC1/5
Correct Score
Sturm Graz0/5
Wolfsberger AC0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction